石家庄学院学报

发展和培育新质生产力是推动经济高质量发展的核心着力点。本文构建了新质生产力评价指标体系，运用熵权TOPSIS法测度了2014—2023年中国30个省区市新质生产力水平，利用核密度估计和空间分异刻画其时空演变特征，并通过空间杜宾模型（SDM）分析其影响因素。结果表明：新质生产力水平呈逐年上升态势，三大区域呈“东部—中部—西部”递减状态。全国及三大区域新质生产力水平均有提升，但区域间差距逐步扩大；新质生产力发展存在显著的空间相关性，其影响因素呈现出明显的区域异质性。现阶段经济发展、产业结构升级与科技投入是新质生产力水平提升的重要驱动力。

Developing and cultivating new-quality productive forces constitutes the core focus for advancing high-quality economic development. This paper constructs an evaluation index system for new-quality productive forces, employs the entropy-weight TOPSIS method to measure the level of new-quality productive forces in 30 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government of China from 2014 to2023, depicts their spatiotemporal evolution characteristics via kernel density estimation and spatial differentiation analysis, and explores the influencing factors using the Spatial Durbin Model(SDM). The results show that the level of new-quality productive forces has maintained a year-on-year growth trend, exhibiting a decreasing gradient of "Eastern region-Central region-Western region" across the three major regions. While the level of new-quality productive forces has improved nationwide as well as in the three major regions, the development gap among regions has gradually widened. Moreover, the development of new-quality productive forces demonstrates significant spatial correlation, and its influencing factors present distinct regional heterogeneity. At the current stage, economic development, industrial structure upgrading, and investment in science and technology serve as the key driving forces for enhancing the level of new-quality productive forces.